Biden – 2,413,568 (54.1%)
Trump – 1,962,430 (44.0%)
Estimating 217k excess votes on a lenient evaluation.
At face value, overwhelming NOVA support for Biden created an even bigger partisan gap, even as the south and southwest became stronger for Trump. Most of the excess votes were piled up 1-2k at a time throughout the southern and eastern portions of VA, with about 73k between Prince William, Loudon, and Fairfax (lenient estimates). The vote stoppage in VA creates suspicion as to whether the state was being prevented from flipping, or just given some buffer room.
If accurate, Trump’s margin of loss in VA would have been 5.6%, or 51.8% to 46.2%, a margin of 235k votes. If vote flipping is occurring, then the state could have been down to the wire.
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